Gold and silver finished the year amid strong volatility following a historic surge. Both metals posted their highest annual gains since 1979. Trading remained unsettled in the final sessions. Investors reacted to interest rate expectations, geopolitical tensions, and fragile markets.
Gold prices rose more than 60 percent over the year. The metal reached a record high above 4,549 dollars per ounce. Prices fell after Christmas. Gold traded near 4,330 dollars per ounce on New Year’s Eve.
Silver followed a similar pattern. The metal traded around 71 dollars per ounce at year end. Earlier in the week, silver reached an all-time high of 83.62 dollars per ounce.
Interest rate expectations support metals
Several factors pushed precious metals higher during the year. Investors positioned for future rate cuts and steady demand. Analysts warned that rapid gains often carry correction risks. Strong rallies can reverse quickly.
Rania Gule from trading platform XS.com highlighted overlapping drivers. Economic trends, investment flows, and geopolitical tensions aligned. These factors lifted gold and silver prices throughout the year.
Gule said expectations of further US rate cuts in 2026 played a key role. Central banks steadily increased gold purchases. Investors also sought safe-haven assets amid global uncertainty and economic stress.
Inflation fears boost safe-haven demand
Dan Coatsworth from investment platform AJ Bell described defensive investor behavior. Inflation concerns drove capital toward precious metals. Volatile stock markets reinforced that trend.
Coatsworth said the market backdrop looked largely unchanged entering 2026. High government debt weighed on confidence in the UK and US. Tariff proposals linked to Donald Trump added pressure. Concerns about a potential artificial intelligence bubble unsettled investors.
These factors could maintain support for gold and silver. Coatsworth warned that strong performance increased vulnerability. Exceptional gains in 2025 raised the risk of pullbacks.
Gains leave gold vulnerable to profit-taking
Coatsworth said market stress could trigger rapid selling. Investors often liquidate assets with strong recent returns first. Gold fits that profile and trades easily.
Rania Gule expects gold prices to continue rising in 2026. She forecast steadier and more controlled gains. Prices may stabilize after the extremes seen in 2025.
Central banks worldwide added hundreds of tons of gold this year. The World Gold Council reported sustained accumulation. Official demand continued to support prices.
Silver supported by supply constraints and industrial demand
Daniel Takieddine of Sky Links Capital Group highlighted silver-specific drivers. Tight supply and industrial demand pushed prices higher. Policy decisions added further pressure.
China announced restrictions on silver exports. The country ranks as the world’s second-largest producer. In October, the Ministry of Commerce confirmed export controls. Officials cited resource protection and environmental priorities.
Elon Musk reacted publicly to the policy. He warned about industrial consequences. He said many manufacturing processes rely heavily on silver.
ETFs channel investment into metals
Takieddine also noted strong inflows into precious metals. Large sums entered the market through exchange-traded funds. These vehicles broadened investor access.
ETFs bundle assets and trade like single shares. Investors avoid holding physical bullion. This structure simplified exposure to gold and silver.
Takieddine said silver could rise again next year. He urged caution despite optimism. Strong rallies may still face sharp corrections.
